Renato Moicano Next Fight: Moicano vs. Nolan on October 31

Next fight: Moicano vs. Nolan

Renato Moicano (13-7) meets Tom Nolan (5-1) on Saturday, October 31, 2026, in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, at lightweight.

How the fight looks

Moicano is a grappler who wrestles to submit; Nolan is a striker. The fight turns on the wrestling. Moicano wants it on the mat; Nolan wants it standing and has the better of the exchanges there. Expect Moicano to get it down: Nolan stops only 58% of takedowns.

• On the feet: Moicano lands 3.1 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 3.4; Nolan lands 4.7 and absorbs 3.8. Nolan is clearly the busier striker and wins the exchanges by the wider margin.
• On the mat: Moicano averages 2.0 takedowns per 15 minutes at 36% and spends 34% of fight time in control. Nolan stops 58% of takedowns.
• On the mat: Nolan averages 1.1 takedowns per 15 minutes at 27% and spends 18% of fight time in control. Moicano stops 57% of takedowns.
• Submissions: Moicano has 7 UFC wins by submission and tries 0.6 per 15 minutes. Nolan has never been submitted in the UFC.

Our pick

Nolan by decision. 3 of Nolan's 5 UFC wins went to the scorecards. MMA.SOCIAL's rating has Moicano at 1,051 and Nolan at 1,068, 52% for Nolan. The styles pull both ways. Nolan has the striking, with a strike differential (significant strikes landed minus absorbed) of +0.9 a minute to Moicano's -0.3. Moicano has the wrestling, with 0.8 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Nolan's defence, to 0.5 the other way. With the styles in: Nolan 55%.

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Last fight

Moicano beat Chris Duncan by submission in round 2 at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan on April 4, 2026. Round-by-round stats.

Moicano's last 5 fights

Where Moicano stands

• UFC record: 13-7 - 2 by KO/TKO, 7 by submission, and 4 by decision.
• Current run: a 1-fight win streak.
• MMA.SOCIAL rating: 1,051, No. 18 among active lightweights.

Renato Moicano's full profile and fight record