Gane vs. Hokit Predictions: UFC Fight Night Picks for November 14

Main event: Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit prediction

Ciryl Gane (11-2 (1 NC)) meets Josh Hokit (4-0) in the main event of Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit on Saturday, November 14, 2026, for the heavyweight title.

How it plays out

Gane is a striker; Hokit is a striker who mixes in takedowns, with real knockout power. Expect a stand-up fight: Hokit brings more volume, and both carry knockout power.

• On the feet: Gane lands 5.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 2.4; Hokit lands 10.3 and absorbs 6.1. Hokit is clearly the busier striker and wins the exchanges by the wider margin.
• On the mat: Hokit averages 1.5 takedowns per 15 minutes at 50% and spends 28% of fight time in control. Gane stops 36% of takedowns.
• Power: 5 of Gane's 11 UFC wins came by KO/TKO, with 2 knockdowns in the last 10 fights. Hokit has never been stopped by strikes in the UFC.
• Power: 3 of Hokit's 4 UFC wins came by KO/TKO, with 3 knockdowns in the last 4 fights. Gane has never been stopped by strikes in the UFC.
• Submissions: Gane has 2 UFC wins by submission and tries 0.5 per 15 minutes. Hokit has never been submitted in the UFC.
• Reach: Gane has 8 inches more, which matters most at range.
• Age: Gane is 7 years older (36 to 29).
• Five rounds: Gane has been past round three 3 times in the UFC, Hokit never.

Rates and percentages are from each fighter's last ten UFC fights in the official stats; records are UFC only. The rating + styles chance is how our pick is made: see the last question below.

Our pick

Gane by decision. 4 of Gane's 11 UFC wins went to the scorecards, and Hokit has never lost in the UFC. MMA.SOCIAL's rating makes Ciryl Gane a clear favourite: 1,282 to 1,115, 72%. On style, Hokit has the edge both ways: a strike differential (significant strikes landed minus absorbed) of +4.2 a minute to Gane's +2.9, and 1.0 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Gane's defence, to 0.1 the other way. With the styles in, Gane's chance eases to 59%. The fans agree: 3 of 5 pick'em players (60%) are with Gane.

Fight page for Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit · Compare the two side by side

Co-main event: Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes prediction

Kayla Harrison (3-0) meets Amanda Nunes (16-2) in the co-main event, for the women's bantamweight title.

How it plays out

Harrison is a grappler who wrestles to submit; Nunes is a pressure wrestler. Both want it on the mat, so the wrestling decides who ends up on top, and Nunes projects to land more takedowns against the other's defence.

• On the feet: Harrison lands 4.3 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.1; Nunes lands 4.5 and absorbs 2.5. The output is close, and Harrison wins the exchanges by the wider margin.
• On the mat: Harrison averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes at 38% and spends 59% of fight time in control. Nunes stops 89% of takedowns.
• On the mat: Nunes averages 2.9 takedowns per 15 minutes at 60% and spends 35% of fight time in control. Harrison has rarely had to defend takedowns in the UFC.
• Power: 7 of Nunes's 16 UFC wins came by KO/TKO, with 6 knockdowns in the last 10 fights. Harrison has never been stopped by strikes in the UFC.
• Submissions: Harrison has 2 UFC wins by submission and tries 0.9 per 15 minutes. Nunes has been submitted once.
• Submissions: Nunes has 3 UFC wins by submission and tries 0.6 per 15 minutes. Harrison has never been submitted in the UFC.
• Reach: Nunes has 3 inches more, which matters most at range.
• Five rounds: Harrison has been past round three never in the UFC, Nunes 6 times.

Rates and percentages are from each fighter's last ten UFC fights in the official stats; records are UFC only. The rating + styles chance is how our pick is made: see the last question below.

Our pick

Nunes by decision. 6 of Nunes's 16 UFC wins went to the scorecards, and Harrison has never lost in the UFC. MMA.SOCIAL's rating makes Amanda Nunes a clear favourite: 1,497 to 1,105, 90%. The styles pull both ways. Harrison has the striking, with a strike differential of +3.2 a minute to Nunes's +2.0. Nunes has the wrestling, with 1.0 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Harrison's defence, to 0.3 the other way. With the styles in, Nunes's chance eases to 85%. The fans agree: 3 of 5 pick'em players (60%) are with Nunes.

Fight page for Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes · Compare the two side by side

The rest of the card

Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui Middleweight

Borralho is a striker; Belgaroui is a high-volume striker with real knockout power. Expect a stand-up fight: Belgaroui brings more volume, and Belgaroui carries the knockout power. The styles pull both ways. Belgaroui has the striking, with a strike differential of +6.4 a minute to Borralho's +0.7. Borralho has the wrestling, with 0.5 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Belgaroui's defence, to 0.1 the other way. Pick: Belgaroui by decision (65% chance). 0 of Belgaroui's 3 UFC wins went to the scorecards, and Borralho has never been finished in the UFC.

Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland Welterweight

Medic is a striker with real knockout power; Holland is a striker. Expect a stand-up fight: Medic carries the knockout power. On style, Holland has the edge in the wrestling, with 0.4 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Medic's defence, to 0.1 the other way. The striking is close to even. Pick: Medic by KO/TKO (63% chance). All 8 of Medic's UFC wins came by KO/TKO, and Holland has been stopped by strikes twice.

Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule Flyweight

Gurule is a striker; the other side has too few UFC fights on record to read. Pick: Hasan by decision (78% chance). 0 of Hasan's 1 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke Welterweight

Thompson is a striker with real knockout power; Radtke is a pressure wrestler. The fight turns on the wrestling. Radtke wants it on the mat; Thompson wants it standing and has the better of the exchanges there. Expect Radtke to get it down: Thompson stops only 53% of takedowns. The styles pull both ways. Thompson has the striking, with a strike differential of +0.9 a minute to Radtke's 0.0. Radtke has the wrestling, with 0.9 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Thompson's defence, to 0.0 the other way. Pick: Radtke by decision (62% chance). 2 of Radtke's 5 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan Lightweight

Dober is a striker with real knockout power; Duncan is a grappler who wrestles to submit. The fight turns on the wrestling. Duncan wants it on the mat; Dober wants it standing, though Duncan has had the better of the exchanges there too. Expect a fight for position: Dober stops 67% of takedowns, enough to make Duncan work for each one. On style, Duncan has the edge both ways: a strike differential of +0.4 a minute to Dober's -0.1, and 0.9 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Dober's defence, to 0.1 the other way. Pick: Duncan by decision (74% chance). 3 of Duncan's 6 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney Lightweight

Miller is a striker with a submission game; McKinney is a grappler who wrestles to submit, with real knockout power. The fight turns on the wrestling. McKinney wants it on the mat; Miller wants it standing, though McKinney has had the better of the exchanges there too. Expect McKinney to get it down: Miller stops only 52% of takedowns. On style, McKinney has the edge both ways: a strike differential of +2.5 a minute to Miller's -1.4, and 1.6 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Miller's defence, to 0.2 the other way. Pick: McKinney by decision (66% chance). 0 of McKinney's 8 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Donte Johnson vs. Cesar Almeida Middleweight

Johnson is a striker who mixes in takedowns; Almeida is a striker with real knockout power. Expect a stand-up fight: Almeida carries the knockout power. On style, Johnson has the edge in the wrestling, with 1.0 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Almeida's defence, to 0.1 the other way. The striking is close to even. Pick: Johnson by decision (68% chance). 1 of Johnson's 3 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita Women's Bantamweight

Chiasson is a pressure wrestler; Mesquita is a grappler who wrestles to submit. Both want it on the mat, so the wrestling decides who ends up on top, and Mesquita projects to land more takedowns against the other's defence. On style, Mesquita has the edge both ways: a strike differential of +3.2 a minute to Chiasson's +0.1, and 1.4 expected takedowns per 15 minutes against Chiasson's defence, to 0.8 the other way. Pick: Mesquita by decision (81% chance). 0 of Mesquita's 3 UFC wins went to the scorecards.

Adrian Yanez vs. Juan Diaz Bantamweight

Yanez is a high-volume striker with real knockout power; the other side has too few UFC fights on record to read. Pick: Yanez by KO/TKO (51% chance). 6 of Yanez's 7 UFC wins came by KO/TKO.

Nazim Sadykhov vs. Jefferson Nascimento Lightweight

Sadykhov is a striker who mixes in takedowns, with real knockout power; the other side has too few UFC fights on record to read. Pick: Sadykhov by KO/TKO (52% chance). 3 of Sadykhov's 4 UFC wins came by KO/TKO, and Nascimento has been stopped by strikes once.

UFC Gane vs. Hokit full card predictions

Twelve fights, two for a title. Each pick names the winner, from MMA.SOCIAL's rating adjusted by the two styles, and how the fight most likely ends, from how the favourite wins and how the opponent has lost; the fans' column is the free pick'em so far.

The rating is MMA.SOCIAL's own ELO, built from every UFC fight; the chance is the rating's, adjusted by each fighter's strike differential and takedown threat. Updated hourly through fight week.

Upset watch

• Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui: we like Belgaroui (65%), but 3 of 5 pick'em players (60%) are with Borralho.
• Adrian Yanez vs. Juan Diaz is close to even: Yanez 51%, Diaz 49%.
• Nazim Sadykhov vs. Jefferson Nascimento is close to even: Sadykhov 52%, Nascimento 48%.

Make your picks

The UFC Gane vs. Hokit pick'em is free: pick every fight before the card locks, and calling an underdog the rating doubts pays more. Every bout, with both fighters' full records, is on the Polymarket UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit event page, and a full results write-up follows as soon as the last fight ends.